Participation in the workshop “Foresight: how to use it for a sustainable transition of Bosnia and Herzegovina” organized by the Stockholm Environment Institute, Sweden

The green transition, which, among other things, includes the transition to a circular model of the economy, represents a major change for the economy of the country that opts for the above. Bearing the above in mind, it is necessary to develop adequate forecasting models that will take into account adequate indicators for tracking, collecting and processing data, as well as forecasting methods and techniques. This is of special interest for the project, as well as for the Republic of Serbia as a whole, which is in the initial stages of introducing the circular economy model.

During the first session, the organizers introduced the participants to the basic aspects of forecasting and the specifics when it comes to the green transition.

During the discussion, prof. Dr. Mirjana Radovanović presented the basic goals of the project and agreed with the participants who emphasized the fact that a sustainable transition is only possible if everyone participates in it, and poorer countries need help. In addition, a special problem was pointed out, which is the multi-year collapse of the quality of education of generations who, on the other hand, are expected to implement the green transition and very ambitious plans of the European Union in the future. The aforementioned is difficult to include in forecasting techniques that exist today.

During the second session, obstacles and barriers for sustainable transition of Bosnia and Herzegovina, as well as the Western Balkan region as a whole, were discussed.

In this part of the discussion, the following are defined as the basic problems of the green transition of the Western Balkan region: obstacles in institutions, contextual difficulties, lack of financial resources, lack of trust, different vision of the future.

As a special problem in the field of forecasting a sustainable future, participants from the Western Balkan countries pointed out: the absence of databases, existing data are not monitored and updated – so the basic initial input for forecasting is missing.

The need for greater involvement of young people was highlighted, which is currently lacking.